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Red460
1325193.9
1360197.3
6140108.8
Blue210
6867136.7
5031131.7
5519123.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443205100300400500600700800460210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
197.30.4
194.3194.7
Auto24.8
Teleop147.9
End27.8
red by 60.6
6867
#19
136.70.3
137.3137.0
Auto19.1
Teleop104.2
End14.2
Second
193.91.1
187.5188.6
Auto24.3
Teleop145.5
End29.8
red by 62.1
5031
#12
131.70.3
131.2131.5
Auto18.5
Teleop99.2
End15.3
Third
6140
#20
108.80.5
105.3105.8
Auto16.0
Teleop80.0
End17.1
blue by 15.0
5519
#15
123.80.4
123.1123.4
Auto17.8
Teleop91.7
End16.9