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Red402
4618164.8
4976179.0
6141110.3
Blue371
6009150.0
6397122.9
7329127.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385271100200300500600402371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179.01.0
174.0175.0
Auto20.2
Teleop135.1
End22.9
red by 29.0
6009
#16
150.00.2
149.8150.0
Auto17.1
Teleop115.1
End20.4
Second
164.80.7
161.3162.1
Auto17.8
Teleop123.9
End23.3
red by 37.1
7329
#22
127.70.1
127.6127.7
Auto17.9
Teleop103.0
End6.5
Third
6141
#27
110.30.5
108.1108.6
Auto17.7
Teleop81.0
End10.6
blue by 12.6
6397
#11
122.90.2
122.8122.9
Auto19.0
Teleop87.3
End17.1