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Red103
4001136.1
6009150.0
5776113.8
Blue460
5428148.5
1325193.9
7329127.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295324100200400500103460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6009
#16
150.00.1
160.8160.8
Auto17.1
Teleop115.1
End20.4
blue by 43.9
193.92.5
157.2159.7
Auto24.3
Teleop145.5
End29.8
Second
4001
#13
136.10.1
137.8137.9
Auto16.3
Teleop99.6
End16.9
blue by 12.5
5428
#30
148.51.7
135.3137.0
Auto17.0
Teleop110.9
End21.1
Third
5776
#29
113.816.6
69.185.7
Auto15.5
Teleop91.6
End3.9
blue by 13.9
7329
#22
127.760.4
138.277.7
Auto17.9
Teleop103.0
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed