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Red209
6140108.8
854114.9
6141110.3
Blue373
7329127.7
6513114.8
1360197.3
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions169386100300500600700800209373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
854
#34
114.90.7
126.2125.5
Auto16.2
Teleop91.9
End8.0
blue by 82.4
197.31.4
180.4181.8
Auto24.8
Teleop147.9
End27.8
Second
6141
#27
110.30.0
102.4102.5
Auto17.7
Teleop81.0
End10.6
blue by 17.4
7329
#22
127.713.9
77.791.7
Auto17.9
Teleop103.0
End6.5
Third
6140
#20
108.82.6
108.8106.2
Auto16.0
Teleop80.0
End17.1
blue by 6.0
6513
#33
114.81.1
130.2129.1
Auto15.2
Teleop88.7
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed