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Red209
4618164.8
6141110.3
6009150.0
Blue314
4343152.6
4976179.0
5921115.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3312710100200300400500600209314

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
164.811.0
117.8128.8
Auto17.8
Teleop123.9
End23.3
blue by 14.2
179.07.1
126.2133.3
Auto20.2
Teleop135.1
End22.9
Second
6009
#16
150.00.3
159.5159.2
Auto17.1
Teleop115.1
End20.4
blue by 2.6
152.67.2
113.7120.9
Auto22.8
Teleop108.5
End25.1
Third
6141
#27
110.30.4
102.5102.8
Auto17.7
Teleop81.0
End10.6
blue by 4.8
5921
#14
115.16.8
86.993.7
Auto16.8
Teleop87.0
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed