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Red383
5699111.8
5428148.5
6397122.9
Blue307
7329127.7
6975104.1
6141110.3
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306230100200400500383307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5428
#30
148.51.5
144.1145.6
Auto17.0
Teleop110.9
End21.1
red by 20.8
7329
#22
127.75.4
108.3113.7
Auto17.9
Teleop103.0
End6.5
Second
6397
#11
122.92.0
107.6109.6
Auto19.0
Teleop87.3
End17.1
red by 12.6
6141
#27
110.30.2
102.5102.3
Auto17.7
Teleop81.0
End10.6
Third
5699
#26
111.81.9
102.6104.4
Auto16.8
Teleop86.8
End7.3
red by 7.7
6975
#32
104.10.7
109.4108.7
Auto16.2
Teleop81.0
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsEarned11%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed