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Red192
5699111.8
4618164.8
6564116.9
Blue278
6397122.9
4939136.8
4946173.8
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2593790100200300500600192278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
164.84.7
146.1150.8
Auto17.8
Teleop123.9
End23.3
blue by 8.9
173.81.5
175.3176.8
Auto24.3
Teleop125.2
End21.8
Second
6564
#24
116.90.5
115.3115.8
Auto17.9
Teleop85.6
End14.1
blue by 19.9
136.80.2
134.0134.2
Auto18.7
Teleop100.1
End19.8
Third
5699
#26
111.81.8
108.5110.3
Auto16.8
Teleop86.8
End7.3
blue by 11.1
6397
#11
122.92.9
112.3115.1
Auto19.0
Teleop87.3
End17.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned65%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed