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Red208
907152.1
188149.0
5428148.5
Blue410
1325193.9
5699111.8
4343152.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338326200250300350400450208410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
907
#5
152.12.9
143.8146.8
Auto19.8
Teleop108.7
End24.1
blue by 41.7
193.92.5
173.3175.9
Auto24.3
Teleop145.5
End29.8
Second
188
#7
149.02.6
144.1146.8
Auto19.9
Teleop113.0
End16.1
blue by 3.6
152.62.3
139.6141.8
Auto22.8
Teleop108.5
End25.1
Third
5428
#30
148.50.1
149.6149.5
Auto17.0
Teleop110.9
End21.1
red by 36.7
5699
#26
111.80.1
110.3110.5
Auto16.8
Teleop86.8
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsEarned75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed