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Red265
7013135.6
6564116.9
5428148.5
Blue447
4976179.0
6135109.1
6975104.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3052950100200400500600700265447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5428
#30
148.50.2
148.4148.2
Auto17.0
Teleop110.9
End21.1
blue by 30.5
179.04.4
160.4164.9
Auto20.2
Teleop135.1
End22.9
Second
7013
#25
135.61.3
137.5136.2
Auto24.6
Teleop97.6
End13.6
red by 26.5
6135
#21
109.10.2
107.5107.3
Auto18.8
Teleop82.4
End9.3
Third
6564
#24
116.90.7
115.4116.1
Auto17.9
Teleop85.6
End14.1
red by 12.8
6975
#32
104.11.7
106.9105.2
Auto16.2
Teleop81.0
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
66%Auto Quest oddsEarned59%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed