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Red465
5921115.1
1310133.9
1360197.3
Blue286
5519123.8
5428148.5
6140108.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3682330100200300400500600700465286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
197.30.5
192.6193.0
Auto24.8
Teleop147.9
End27.8
red by 48.8
5428
#30
148.50.0
148.2148.2
Auto17.0
Teleop110.9
End21.1
Second
1310
#23
133.92.6
138.2135.6
Auto20.7
Teleop101.8
End11.4
red by 10.1
5519
#15
123.80.8
120.3121.2
Auto17.8
Teleop91.7
End16.9
Third
5921
#14
115.10.6
115.2114.5
Auto16.8
Teleop87.0
End9.3
red by 6.3
6140
#20
108.81.4
102.6104.0
Auto16.0
Teleop80.0
End17.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
66%Auto Quest oddsEarned52%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed