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Red112
1075115.0
6397122.9
6513114.8
Blue399
4939136.8
1325193.9
919108.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2653230100200400500112399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6397
#11
122.91.5
103.7105.2
Auto19.0
Teleop87.3
End17.1
blue by 70.9
193.92.8
159.7162.5
Auto24.3
Teleop145.5
End29.8
Second
1075
#35
115.014.7
86.7101.4
Auto15.3
Teleop83.6
End16.9
blue by 21.8
136.81.3
132.0130.8
Auto18.7
Teleop100.1
End19.8
Third
6513
#33
114.80.4
130.6130.2
Auto15.2
Teleop88.7
End11.6
red by 6.4
919
#17
108.40.3
103.0102.7
Auto16.8
Teleop81.8
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed11%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed