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Red412
5776113.8
1325193.9
7013135.6
Blue299
5031131.7
5699111.8
1360197.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314316200250300350400450412299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193.93.0
184.5187.5
Auto24.3
Teleop145.5
End29.8
blue by 3.4
197.31.2
193.0194.3
Auto24.8
Teleop147.9
End27.8
Second
7013
#25
135.60.1
135.3135.2
Auto24.6
Teleop97.6
End13.6
red by 3.9
5031
#12
131.70.6
130.7131.2
Auto18.5
Teleop99.2
End15.3
Third
5776
#29
113.82.7
116.6113.8
Auto15.5
Teleop91.6
End3.9
red by 2.0
5699
#26
111.80.6
112.4111.8
Auto16.8
Teleop86.8
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed