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Red242
6867136.7
6397122.9
7013135.6
Blue494
5428148.5
6009150.0
5921115.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296294200250350400450242494

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6867
#19
136.71.2
132.6133.8
Auto19.1
Teleop104.2
End14.2
blue by 13.2
6009
#16
150.01.3
160.8159.5
Auto17.1
Teleop115.1
End20.4
Second
7013
#25
135.60.6
144.8145.3
Auto24.6
Teleop97.6
End13.6
blue by 13.0
5428
#30
148.52.2
137.0139.2
Auto17.0
Teleop110.9
End21.1
Third
6397
#11
122.90.5
105.2105.7
Auto19.0
Teleop87.3
End17.1
red by 7.9
5921
#14
115.17.2
79.786.9
Auto16.8
Teleop87.0
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed