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Red483
4476177.7
610210.9
6110127.0
Blue257
2609157.6
4946167.6
6867132.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions408291100200500600700483257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#1
210.90.6
210.3210.9
Auto29.4
Teleop150.4
End33.4
red by 43.3
167.60.3
167.4167.6
Auto23.3
Teleop117.4
End27.1
Second
177.71.1
176.7177.7
Auto26.9
Teleop135.5
End17.9
red by 20.2
157.60.1
157.4157.6
Auto23.0
Teleop116.9
End17.2
Third
6110
#24
127.00.1
126.9127.0
Auto15.9
Teleop99.9
End11.0
blue by 5.2
6867
#17
132.20.2
132.0132.2
Auto16.4
Teleop103.9
End12.2