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Red241
4939132.0
1285149.4
781120.1
Blue233
2708133.2
4704125.3
2994127.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2913110100200400500600241233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
149.40.4
148.5148.8
Auto24.3
Teleop106.3
End22.5
red by 16.2
133.20.4
132.5132.9
Auto18.2
Teleop105.2
End9.8
Second
4939
#34
132.00.3
133.7133.3
Auto15.6
Teleop100.6
End15.4
red by 4.9
2994
#15
127.10.1
127.0127.1
Auto14.8
Teleop98.7
End15.8
Third
781
#37
120.10.2
119.7119.9
Auto14.8
Teleop92.5
End13.0
blue by 5.1
125.30.5
126.3125.8
Auto18.7
Teleop97.6
End7.1