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Red199
6110127.0
6866113.2
7052117.4
Blue205
1246125.4
697798.2
6141102.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2862320100200400500600199205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6110
#24
127.09.3
104.8114.1
Auto15.9
Teleop99.9
End11.0
red by 1.6
1246
#10
125.411.1
94.1105.1
Auto13.8
Teleop91.0
End21.6
Second
7052
#16
117.410.4
91.1101.5
Auto13.8
Teleop92.8
End13.5
red by 15.3
6141
#12
102.13.8
91.194.9
Auto16.1
Teleop76.9
End9.3
Third
6866
#19
113.25.9
86.091.9
Auto12.5
Teleop87.5
End15.1
red by 15.0
6977
#18
98.22.1
86.488.5
Auto16.8
Teleop73.3
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed