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Red275
1246125.4
6110127.0
4946167.6
Blue259
4015102.7
4476177.7
6513130.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292282150200250350400450275259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.613.1
101.0114.2
Auto23.3
Teleop117.4
End27.1
blue by 10.1
177.714.2
90.8105.0
Auto26.9
Teleop135.5
End17.9
Second
6110
#24
127.015.5
78.994.4
Auto15.9
Teleop99.9
End11.0
blue by 3.6
6513
#38
130.614.6
87.8102.3
Auto15.3
Teleop102.3
End12.6
Third
1246
#10
125.417.0
65.782.7
Auto13.8
Teleop91.0
End21.6
red by 22.6
4015
#36
102.717.7
59.277.0
Auto13.7
Teleop77.8
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed