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Red281
2708133.2
6867132.2
781120.1
Blue312
4252121.3
4946167.6
5519122.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2523170100200400500600281312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133.20.7
128.2127.5
Auto18.2
Teleop105.2
End9.8
blue by 34.4
167.64.2
136.8140.9
Auto23.3
Teleop117.4
End27.1
Second
6867
#17
132.24.9
109.2114.1
Auto16.4
Teleop103.9
End12.2
red by 9.7
5519
#11
122.54.9
109.8114.7
Auto15.1
Teleop94.7
End11.6
Third
781
#37
120.10.3
114.0114.3
Auto14.8
Teleop92.5
End13.0
blue by 1.2
4252
#28
121.33.5
108.2111.6
Auto14.6
Teleop92.0
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed