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Red320
2994127.1
5519122.5
6917132.8
Blue204
4248111.6
6110127.0
4015102.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325265100200300400500320204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6917
#26
132.84.6
122.9127.5
Auto16.4
Teleop103.1
End12.2
red by 5.9
6110
#24
127.00.9
127.8128.7
Auto15.9
Teleop99.9
End11.0
Second
2994
#15
127.13.0
118.8121.8
Auto14.8
Teleop98.7
End15.8
red by 15.5
4248
#27
111.63.3
107.3110.6
Auto15.0
Teleop88.9
End9.3
Third
5519
#11
122.50.0
119.2119.1
Auto15.1
Teleop94.7
End11.6
red by 19.8
4015
#36
102.71.3
97.698.9
Auto13.7
Teleop77.8
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed