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Red110
6141102.1
6866113.2
1285149.4
Blue369
4476177.7
6140110.1
6867132.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242306100200400500600110369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
149.43.1
142.3145.4
Auto24.3
Teleop106.3
End22.5
blue by 28.3
177.75.2
146.9152.1
Auto26.9
Teleop135.5
End17.9
Second
6866
#19
113.23.7
100.0103.8
Auto12.5
Teleop87.5
End15.1
blue by 19.0
6867
#17
132.22.1
117.2119.3
Auto16.4
Teleop103.9
End12.2
Third
6141
#12
102.10.2
102.1102.2
Auto16.1
Teleop76.9
End9.3
blue by 8.0
6140
#33
110.10.1
109.9110.1
Auto13.7
Teleop82.3
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed