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Red241
6141102.1
4939132.0
6513130.6
Blue134
4704125.3
6975110.5
4783101.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions259282100200400500241134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4939
#34
132.00.4
132.0132.4
Auto15.6
Teleop100.6
End15.4
red by 6.8
125.32.3
126.8129.1
Auto18.7
Teleop97.6
End7.1
Second
6513
#38
130.62.6
134.9132.3
Auto15.3
Teleop102.3
End12.6
red by 20.1
6975
#29
110.50.3
116.4116.0
Auto14.7
Teleop88.4
End4.8
Third
6141
#12
102.10.8
102.2101.4
Auto16.1
Teleop76.9
End9.3
red by 0.9
4783
#31
101.21.3
108.3107.0
Auto17.8
Teleop75.8
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed