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Red315
5519122.5
781120.1
1246125.4
Blue234
4939132.0
5409124.9
6140110.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2813150100200400500600315234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1246
#10
125.40.1
124.4124.5
Auto13.8
Teleop91.0
End21.6
blue by 6.7
4939
#34
132.01.5
132.4133.8
Auto15.6
Teleop100.6
End15.4
Second
5519
#11
122.50.6
119.5120.2
Auto15.1
Teleop94.7
End11.6
blue by 2.4
5409
#21
124.91.2
123.5124.7
Auto18.4
Teleop92.1
End15.4
Third
781
#37
120.11.5
115.8117.3
Auto14.8
Teleop92.5
End13.0
red by 10.0
6140
#33
110.10.5
111.6112.1
Auto13.7
Teleop82.3
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed