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Red330
697798.2
2609157.6
2994127.1
Blue229
6513130.6
4704125.3
781120.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3092770100200400500600330229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.61.9
152.3154.2
Auto23.0
Teleop116.9
End17.2
red by 27.0
6513
#38
130.60.6
131.8131.2
Auto15.3
Teleop102.3
End12.6
Second
2994
#15
127.10.7
125.5126.1
Auto14.8
Teleop98.7
End15.8
red by 1.9
125.32.1
129.7127.7
Auto18.7
Teleop97.6
End7.1
Third
6977
#18
98.20.4
96.697.0
Auto16.8
Teleop73.3
End7.0
blue by 22.0
781
#37
120.11.4
117.3118.7
Auto14.8
Teleop92.5
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed