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Red278
4704125.3
6866113.2
4946167.6
Blue275
6917132.8
2609157.6
781120.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3362890100200400500600700278275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.63.2
161.5164.7
Auto23.3
Teleop117.4
End27.1
red by 10.1
157.61.6
154.2155.8
Auto23.0
Teleop116.9
End17.2
Second
125.31.4
127.7126.3
Auto18.7
Teleop97.6
End7.1
blue by 7.6
6917
#26
132.80.2
133.1132.8
Auto16.4
Teleop103.1
End12.2
Third
6866
#19
113.22.8
110.4113.2
Auto12.5
Teleop87.5
End15.1
blue by 7.0
781
#37
120.11.0
118.7119.7
Auto14.8
Teleop92.5
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsMissed41%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed