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Red329
6975110.5
6141102.1
2200164.9
Blue279
4248111.6
5409124.9
1285149.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294301200250350400329279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
164.93.3
157.9161.2
Auto21.8
Teleop107.3
End41.2
red by 15.5
149.41.0
147.5148.5
Auto24.3
Teleop106.3
End22.5
Second
6975
#29
110.51.8
112.3110.5
Auto14.7
Teleop88.4
End4.8
blue by 14.4
5409
#21
124.90.1
124.9124.9
Auto18.4
Teleop92.1
End15.4
Third
6141
#12
102.10.2
101.5101.7
Auto16.1
Teleop76.9
End9.3
blue by 9.6
4248
#27
111.60.3
112.0111.6
Auto15.0
Teleop88.9
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed57%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed