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Red324
5911113.4
1285149.4
7052117.4
Blue215
5428135.3
6866113.2
5519122.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2842460200400600800324215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
149.48.8
112.2121.0
Auto24.3
Teleop106.3
End22.5
red by 14.1
5428
#22
135.39.2
99.4108.6
Auto17.8
Teleop103.1
End16.6
Second
7052
#16
117.413.3
77.791.1
Auto13.8
Teleop92.8
End13.5
blue by 5.1
5519
#11
122.511.5
80.291.7
Auto15.1
Teleop94.7
End11.6
Third
5911
#14
113.410.6
81.792.4
Auto14.9
Teleop91.0
End6.7
red by 0.2
6866
#19
113.28.3
77.786.0
Auto12.5
Teleop87.5
End15.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed