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Red358
2609157.6
4946167.6
6867132.2
Blue322
5036163.6
2200164.9
5031120.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions371320100200400500600700358322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.60.5
166.5166.9
Auto23.3
Teleop117.4
End27.1
red by 2.7
164.90.8
164.1164.9
Auto21.8
Teleop107.3
End41.2
Second
157.60.3
156.9157.2
Auto23.0
Teleop116.9
End17.2
blue by 6.0
163.60.6
163.0163.6
Auto25.8
Teleop117.5
End22.7
Third
6867
#17
132.20.4
131.3131.6
Auto16.4
Teleop103.9
End12.2
red by 12.1
5031
#25
120.10.0
120.1120.1
Auto17.8
Teleop90.8
End12.0