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Red464
4343146.1
4678192.8
1325208.4
Blue267
2609162.6
2852137.3
3015186.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4053000100200500600700800464267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1325
#15
208.40.0
208.4208.4
Auto23.9
Teleop156.3
End27.7
red by 22.4
3015
#19
186.00.0
186.0186.0
Auto22.4
Teleop134.6
End29.6
Second
192.80.0
192.8192.8
Auto24.8
Teleop151.1
End14.6
red by 30.2
2609
#29
162.60.0
162.6162.6
Auto23.5
Teleop122.6
End11.6
Third
4343
#28
146.10.0
146.1146.1
Auto19.5
Teleop100.7
End25.3
red by 8.8
137.30.0
137.3137.3
Auto12.9
Teleop112.2
End12.6