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Red319
1325208.4
4343146.1
2852137.3
Blue327
2604109.8
6336125.2
3683160.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4172470100200300500600700800319327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1325
#15
208.40.0
208.4208.4
Auto23.9
Teleop156.3
End27.7
red by 48.1
160.30.0
160.3160.3
Auto15.7
Teleop123.9
End21.8
Second
4343
#28
146.10.0
146.1146.1
Auto19.5
Teleop100.7
End25.3
red by 20.9
6336
#18
125.20.0
125.2125.2
Auto17.4
Teleop96.7
End11.1
Third
137.30.0
137.3137.3
Auto12.9
Teleop112.2
End12.6
red by 27.5
2604
#22
109.80.0
109.8109.8
Auto16.9
Teleop77.8
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest odds57%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss odds5%Face the Boss odds