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Red256
571992.5
3739125.9
2056250.9
Blue340
6336125.2
1325208.4
6378163.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325330200250300350400450256340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
250.90.0
250.9250.9
Auto26.5
Teleop184.2
End38.9
red by 42.5
1325
#15
208.40.0
208.4208.4
Auto23.9
Teleop156.3
End27.7
Second
3739
#30
125.90.0
125.9125.9
Auto16.6
Teleop93.9
End14.1
blue by 37.5
6378
#25
163.40.0
163.4163.4
Auto22.6
Teleop121.8
End19.0
Third
5719
#31
92.50.0
92.592.5
Auto15.8
Teleop73.4
End5.9
blue by 32.7
6336
#18
125.20.0
125.2125.2
Auto17.4
Teleop96.7
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest odds84%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
65%Face the Boss odds19%Face the Boss odds