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Red519
1114226.9
1241202.9
6336125.2
Blue198
1075110.7
4917209.9
865198.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3753290200600800519198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226.90.0
226.9226.9
Auto23.7
Teleop172.4
End30.3
red by 17.0
209.90.0
209.9209.9
Auto25.1
Teleop153.4
End28.1
Second
202.90.0
202.9202.9
Auto24.2
Teleop156.5
End20.3
red by 4.9
865
#17
198.00.0
198.0198.0
Auto24.6
Teleop147.3
End26.0
Third
6336
#18
125.20.0
125.2125.2
Auto17.4
Teleop96.7
End11.1
red by 14.5
1075
#32
110.70.0
110.7110.7
Auto18.5
Teleop80.6
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest odds92%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
45%Face the Boss odds38%Face the Boss odds