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Red249
2702173.8
6336125.2
2609162.6
Blue463
3683160.3
1360197.6
4678192.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2854180200600800249463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2702
#12
173.80.0
173.8173.8
Auto23.5
Teleop125.4
End27.8
blue by 23.8
1360
#14
197.60.0
197.6197.6
Auto24.7
Teleop147.9
End22.6
Second
2609
#29
162.60.0
162.6162.6
Auto23.5
Teleop122.6
End11.6
blue by 30.2
192.80.0
192.8192.8
Auto24.8
Teleop151.1
End14.6
Third
6336
#18
125.20.0
125.2125.2
Auto17.4
Teleop96.7
End11.1
blue by 35.1
160.30.0
160.3160.3
Auto15.7
Teleop123.9
End21.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest odds88%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
18%Face the Boss odds24%Face the Boss odds