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Red496
2056250.9
6878129.4
4917209.9
Blue289
4343146.1
4678192.8
1325208.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4223190100200500600700800496289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
250.90.0
250.9250.9
Auto26.5
Teleop184.2
End38.9
red by 42.5
1325
#15
208.40.0
208.4208.4
Auto23.9
Teleop156.3
End27.7
Second
209.90.0
209.9209.9
Auto25.1
Teleop153.4
End28.1
red by 17.1
192.80.0
192.8192.8
Auto24.8
Teleop151.1
End14.6
Third
6878
#21
129.40.0
129.4129.4
Auto16.6
Teleop97.0
End16.0
blue by 16.7
4343
#28
146.10.0
146.1146.1
Auto19.5
Teleop100.7
End25.3