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Red439
5719111.7
6978126.4
4039184.7
Blue160
2935125.2
6397103.7
6564118.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3252480100200400500600439160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
184.71.8
167.2169.1
Auto28.2
Teleop139.4
End16.2
red by 59.5
2935
#32
125.27.5
112.8120.3
Auto17.2
Teleop100.8
End6.2
Second
6978
#11
126.47.9
89.197.0
Auto18.3
Teleop96.7
End10.7
red by 8.4
6564
#29
118.05.4
112.4117.8
Auto15.1
Teleop88.1
End12.4
Third
5719
#23
111.70.2
114.9114.8
Auto15.8
Teleop88.7
End7.8
red by 8.0
6397
#19
103.72.9
93.996.9
Auto14.7
Teleop77.5
End14.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsEarned20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed