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Red473
6009160.8
2706163.6
1114206.3
Blue110
4015101.8
5032124.9
5834125.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4131790100300500600700473110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
206.39.1
157.3166.5
Auto28.0
Teleop148.8
End28.3
red by 80.5
5834
#12
125.86.9
98.1105.0
Auto18.2
Teleop90.7
End16.0
Second
163.611.3
118.3129.6
Auto18.5
Teleop122.9
End21.9
red by 38.7
5032
#25
124.98.5
106.8115.3
Auto19.1
Teleop96.0
End10.7
Third
160.85.0
117.0122.0
Auto19.2
Teleop123.6
End19.1
red by 59.1
4015
#33
101.80.2
104.3104.5
Auto14.0
Teleop78.0
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsEarned28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed