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Red190
6564118.0
6978126.4
746119.8
Blue363
6878116.6
5032124.9
1285162.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2613100100200400500600190363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6978
#11
126.471.2
149.077.7
Auto18.3
Teleop96.7
End10.7
blue by 35.8
162.20.4
149.4149.7
Auto25.3
Teleop115.8
End20.8
Second
746
#28
119.816.7
68.785.4
Auto14.9
Teleop89.0
End15.6
blue by 5.1
5032
#25
124.915.6
78.393.9
Auto19.1
Teleop96.0
End10.7
Third
6564
#29
118.014.4
88.8103.2
Auto15.1
Teleop88.1
End12.4
red by 1.4
6878
#17
116.651.6
129.477.7
Auto15.3
Teleop85.0
End15.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed50%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed