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Red374
6917135.8
4308132.1
5834125.8
Blue288
6978126.4
4252110.7
5032124.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions261289150200350400450374288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6917
#18
135.81.5
132.9131.5
Auto17.7
Teleop103.9
End14.4
red by 9.3
6978
#11
126.47.3
97.0104.3
Auto18.3
Teleop96.7
End10.7
Second
4308
#13
132.15.9
103.9109.9
Auto18.3
Teleop101.4
End9.5
red by 7.2
5032
#25
124.93.3
115.3118.6
Auto19.1
Teleop96.0
End10.7
Third
5834
#12
125.82.3
105.0107.2
Auto18.2
Teleop90.7
End16.0
red by 15.1
4252
#22
110.71.2
115.4114.2
Auto16.0
Teleop84.0
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned17%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed