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Red226
919103.0
616288.7
4308132.1
Blue392
746119.8
6009160.8
7200144.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2253340100200300400500226392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4308
#13
132.17.4
109.9117.2
Auto18.3
Teleop101.4
End9.5
blue by 28.7
160.84.6
122.0126.6
Auto19.2
Teleop123.6
End19.1
Second
919
#36
103.05.9
87.293.1
Auto15.6
Teleop79.8
End7.7
blue by 41.9
144.91.0
136.1137.0
Auto19.0
Teleop108.0
End19.1
Third
6162
#30
88.73.6
92.696.2
Auto12.0
Teleop70.9
End4.8
blue by 31.1
746
#28
119.83.7
101.6105.3
Auto14.9
Teleop89.0
End15.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed62%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed