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Red445
1246154.6
4039184.7
6878116.6
Blue215
4252110.7
1285162.2
5834125.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331288150200250350400450500445215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
184.71.2
171.3172.5
Auto28.2
Teleop139.4
End16.2
red by 22.5
162.21.1
154.4155.5
Auto25.3
Teleop115.8
End20.8
Second
154.62.5
130.2132.7
Auto21.5
Teleop106.6
End25.0
red by 28.8
5834
#12
125.84.9
107.2112.1
Auto18.2
Teleop90.7
End16.0
Third
6878
#17
116.62.1
101.8103.9
Auto15.3
Teleop85.0
End15.8
red by 5.9
4252
#22
110.70.6
114.2113.6
Auto16.0
Teleop84.0
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsEarned47%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed