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Red255
854126.2
7136105.7
4001137.8
Blue243
5911122.8
6978126.4
4015101.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327233100200300400500255243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4001
#21
137.81.5
136.1137.6
Auto15.6
Teleop103.2
End22.2
red by 11.4
6978
#11
126.45.7
104.3110.0
Auto18.3
Teleop96.7
End10.7
Second
854
#20
126.23.0
120.1123.1
Auto19.5
Teleop94.8
End9.2
red by 3.4
5911
#14
122.80.6
115.6115.0
Auto17.4
Teleop95.8
End13.7
Third
7136
#35
105.72.2
101.7103.9
Auto14.7
Teleop82.8
End10.0
red by 3.9
4015
#33
101.80.8
103.8103.0
Auto14.0
Teleop78.0
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed