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Red142
746119.8
2935125.2
6878116.6
Blue454
5406192.4
697789.9
6009160.8
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233353100200300400500142454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2935
#32
125.20.9
125.3124.4
Auto17.2
Teleop100.8
End6.2
blue by 67.2
192.45.4
162.8168.2
Auto22.8
Teleop130.6
End41.1
Second
746
#28
119.83.1
110.5113.6
Auto14.9
Teleop89.0
End15.6
blue by 41.0
160.85.6
132.6138.2
Auto19.2
Teleop123.6
End19.1
Third
6878
#17
116.63.7
103.9107.5
Auto15.3
Teleop85.0
End15.8
red by 26.7
6977
#26
89.91.6
93.792.1
Auto15.9
Teleop70.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsEarned