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Red252
356099.0
6544142.7
5032124.9
Blue465
6878116.6
5406192.4
6978126.4
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions268327150200300350400450500252465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6544
#16
142.71.2
143.3142.1
Auto16.5
Teleop102.3
End26.6
blue by 49.7
192.44.1
175.2179.4
Auto22.8
Teleop130.6
End41.1
Second
5032
#25
124.90.2
119.7119.9
Auto19.1
Teleop96.0
End10.7
blue by 1.5
6978
#11
126.42.0
116.4118.4
Auto18.3
Teleop96.7
End10.7
Third
3560
#31
99.00.8
96.096.7
Auto12.6
Teleop78.9
End8.9
blue by 17.7
6878
#17
116.60.6
109.2109.8
Auto15.3
Teleop85.0
End15.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsEarned54%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsEarned