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Red306
1285162.2
5406192.4
7176117.7
Blue291
7200144.9
5032124.9
697789.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433210100300400500600700306291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192.45.1
179.4184.5
Auto22.8
Teleop130.6
End41.1
red by 47.5
144.90.6
141.4142.0
Auto19.0
Teleop108.0
End19.1
Second
162.21.3
158.2159.5
Auto25.3
Teleop115.8
End20.8
red by 37.3
5032
#25
124.90.9
119.9120.8
Auto19.1
Teleop96.0
End10.7
Third
7176
#15
117.72.0
112.7114.7
Auto17.3
Teleop89.5
End9.2
red by 27.8
6977
#26
89.90.7
91.090.3
Auto15.9
Teleop70.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned71%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed