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Red321
2935125.2
6866109.1
4252110.7
Blue369
7176117.7
5911122.8
6130128.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263277150200300350400321369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2935
#32
125.20.3
122.5122.3
Auto17.2
Teleop100.8
End6.2
blue by 3.0
6130
#24
128.20.4
124.5124.9
Auto17.3
Teleop94.4
End19.6
Second
4252
#22
110.70.2
110.0110.2
Auto16.0
Teleop84.0
End9.1
blue by 12.0
5911
#14
122.81.0
118.7119.6
Auto17.4
Teleop95.8
End13.7
Third
6866
#34
109.10.5
110.4109.9
Auto14.1
Teleop83.9
End11.4
blue by 8.6
7176
#15
117.70.4
114.7115.0
Auto17.3
Teleop89.5
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsEarned53%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed