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Red215
1246154.6
6130128.2
4015101.8
Blue388
6544142.7
7176117.7
4039184.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2183660100300400500600700215388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
154.60.5
125.4125.8
Auto21.5
Teleop106.6
End25.0
blue by 30.0
184.72.1
163.1165.2
Auto28.2
Teleop139.4
End16.2
Second
6130
#24
128.215.9
75.591.4
Auto17.3
Teleop94.4
End19.6
blue by 14.4
6544
#16
142.714.3
90.5104.8
Auto16.5
Teleop102.3
End26.6
Third
4015
#33
101.80.6
102.7103.4
Auto14.0
Teleop78.0
End11.4
blue by 16.0
7176
#15
117.736.0
113.877.7
Auto17.3
Teleop89.5
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsEarned61%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed