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Red161
6397103.7
7200144.9
6978126.4
Blue185
697789.9
7013144.7
4039184.7
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253372100200300400500600161185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144.91.1
142.0143.1
Auto19.0
Teleop108.0
End19.1
blue by 39.8
184.71.5
181.2182.7
Auto28.2
Teleop139.4
End16.2
Second
6978
#11
126.41.9
122.0123.9
Auto18.3
Teleop96.7
End10.7
blue by 18.3
144.73.1
140.2143.3
Auto20.6
Teleop105.5
End18.4
Third
6397
#19
103.71.3
100.9102.3
Auto14.7
Teleop77.5
End14.2
red by 13.7
6977
#26
89.90.0
90.390.3
Auto15.9
Teleop70.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned85%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed