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Red300
616288.7
5911122.8
4001137.8
Blue228
4308132.1
6564118.0
4252110.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2703010100200400500600300228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4001
#21
137.81.1
138.9137.8
Auto15.6
Teleop103.2
End22.2
red by 5.7
4308
#13
132.10.7
132.6133.3
Auto18.3
Teleop101.4
End9.5
Second
5911
#14
122.81.3
121.5122.8
Auto17.4
Teleop95.8
End13.7
red by 4.7
6564
#29
118.00.1
118.1118.0
Auto15.1
Teleop88.1
End12.4
Third
6162
#30
88.71.0
89.788.7
Auto12.0
Teleop70.9
End4.8
blue by 22.1
4252
#22
110.70.0
110.8110.7
Auto16.0
Teleop84.0
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
8%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed