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Red305
2852134.7
1334155.6
4814124.2
Blue313
2609160.6
4525165.0
5024131.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306365100200400500600305313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.60.4
153.7154.0
Auto18.6
Teleop112.9
End25.2
blue by 9.3
165.00.8
162.9163.7
Auto22.9
Teleop119.9
End23.6
Second
134.70.3
133.2133.5
Auto17.0
Teleop102.8
End15.8
blue by 25.8
2609
#11
160.60.2
160.1160.3
Auto23.8
Teleop119.6
End15.6
Third
4814
#20
124.20.1
124.5124.4
Auto19.1
Teleop97.9
End7.5
blue by 6.9
5024
#26
131.10.4
130.0130.4
Auto13.5
Teleop99.3
End22.2