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Red409
4814124.2
4678159.4
2852134.7
Blue175
7022100.2
6331105.4
2702123.1
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353235100200300400500409175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4678
#10
159.43.7
145.4149.1
Auto20.4
Teleop127.5
End10.6
red by 36.4
2702
#21
123.13.8
122.2126.0
Auto15.8
Teleop86.5
End20.4
Second
134.70.1
126.2126.1
Auto17.0
Teleop102.8
End15.8
red by 29.3
6331
#22
105.40.2
110.1110.3
Auto13.5
Teleop77.0
End18.2
Third
4814
#20
124.21.0
122.6123.6
Auto19.1
Teleop97.9
End7.5
red by 23.9
7022
#19
100.22.3
92.895.2
Auto12.8
Teleop76.4
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed