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Red269
3739129.3
4248116.7
7058113.0
Blue358
5032136.9
3756116.9
5024131.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283319100200400500269358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3739
#16
129.33.5
122.3125.9
Auto16.4
Teleop97.5
End12.0
blue by 7.6
5032
#13
136.91.1
127.2128.2
Auto15.8
Teleop107.8
End12.3
Second
4248
#28
116.70.6
112.0112.6
Auto17.0
Teleop89.6
End14.8
blue by 14.4
5024
#26
131.10.7
130.1129.5
Auto13.5
Teleop99.3
End22.2
Third
7058
#29
113.03.4
100.8104.2
Auto17.1
Teleop86.0
End11.0
blue by 3.9
3756
#32
116.96.1
107.9114.0
Auto15.0
Teleop87.0
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsEarned33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed